The Black Swan PDF ePub eBook

Books Info:

The Black Swan free pdf "The Black Swan "is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are "Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, "and "The Bed of Procrustes." A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable- it carries a massive impact- and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan- so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, "The Black Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. "The Black Swan" is a landmark book--itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all.""--GQ"" "Praise for "The Black Swan" "[A book] that altered modern thinking."--"The Times" (London) "A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of "Wired, "author of" The Long Tail"" ""Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, "Los Angeles Times"" """The Black Swan" changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.""--The Wall Street Journal"" ""Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--"Financial Times"" ""Engaging . . . "The Black Swan" has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.""--The New York Times Book Review" "From the Hardcover edition."

About Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Sad to say, right now we simply can't present you with information regarding this Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb. But this does not necessarily mean that we do not work on the selection. Additionally we consult that you assist us to in this particular matter. When you have free time and need can exceptionally take pleasure in should you offer people your data. Any time acquiring these opinions and info from consumers regarding the The Black Swan Manager Nassim Nicholas Taleb, we 1st the woman's check. The moment we ensure that all correct, simply publish the idea. We see why support and also thank you upfront.

Details Book

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House
Data Published : 11 May 2010
ISBN : 0679604189
EAN : 9780679604181
Format Book : PDF, Epub, DOCx, TXT
Number of Pages : 417 pages
Age + : 15 years
Language : English
Rating :

Reviews The Black Swan



17 Comments Add a comment




Related eBooks Download


  • Antifragile free pdfAntifragile

    Traditional Chinese edition of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb of the Black Swan. a groundbreaking and eye-opening book that the Sunday Times deemed "one of the twelve most influential books since World War II..


  • Antifragile free pdfAntifragile

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb. author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time. reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension..


  • Antifragile free pdfAntifragile

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb. the bestselling author of "The Black Swan" and one of the foremost thinkers of our time. reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension..


  • The Black Swan [CHI] free pdfThe Black Swan [CHI]

    Chinese edition of The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable. The author examines the highly improbable events that have massive impacts. An enlightening book that will change the way we think about the world..


  • The Bed of Procrustes free pdfThe Bed of Procrustes

    "The Bed of Procrustes "is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series. an investigation of opacity. luck. uncertainty. probability. human error. risk. and decision-making in a world we don't understand..


  • The Black Swan free pdfThe Black Swan

    . "The Black Swan "is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a wor